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Toll Brothers, Inc is a residential construction business based in the US. Toll Brothers shares (TOL) are listed on the NYSE and all prices are listed in US Dollars. Toll Brothers employs 5,100 staff and has a trailing 12-month revenue of around USD$6.9 billion.
Since the stock market crash in March caused by coronavirus, Toll Brothers's share price has had significant positive movement.
Its last market close was USD$48.43, which is 1.22% up on its pre-crash value of USD$47.84 and 264.68% up on the lowest point reached during the March crash when the shares fell as low as USD$13.28.
If you had bought USD$1,000 worth of Toll Brothers shares at the start of February 2020, those shares would have been worth USD$309.67 at the bottom of the March crash, and if you held on to them, then as of the last market close they'd be worth USD$1,086.77.
|Latest market close||USD$48.43|
|52-week range||USD$13.28 - USD$50.42|
|50-day moving average||USD$46.6703|
|200-day moving average||USD$35.8371|
|Wall St. target price||USD$48.93|
|Dividend yield||USD$0.44 (0.9%)|
|Earnings per share (TTM)||USD$3.331|
The value of any investment can go up or down depending on news, trends and market conditions. We are not investment advisers, so do your own due diligence to understand the risks before you invest.
The technical analysis gauge below displays real-time ratings for the timeframes you select. This is not a recommendation, however. It represents a technical analysis based on the most popular technical indicators: Moving Averages, Oscillators and Pivots. Finder might not concur and takes no responsibility.
This chart is not advice or a guarantee of success. Rather, it gauges the real-time recommendations of three popular technical indicators: moving averages, oscillators and pivots. Finder is not responsible for how your stock performs.
|1 week (2020-10-22)||5.83%|
|1 month (2020-09-29)||2.78%|
|3 months (2020-07-29)||25.47%|
|6 months (2020-04-29)||84.57%|
|1 year (2019-10-29)||22.11%|
|2 years (2018-10-29)||58.63%|
|3 years (2017-10-27)||6.35%|
|5 years (2015-10-29)||36.15%|
Valuing Toll Brothers stock is incredibly difficult, and any metric has to be viewed as part of a bigger picture of Toll Brothers's overall performance. However, analysts commonly use some key metrics to help gauge the value of a stock.
Toll Brothers's current share price divided by its per-share earnings (EPS) over a 12-month period gives a "trailing price/earnings ratio" of roughly 15x. In other words, Toll Brothers shares trade at around 15x recent earnings.
That's relatively low compared to, say, the trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the NASDAQ 100 at the end of 2019 (27.29). The low P/E ratio could mean that investors are pessimistic about the outlook for the shares or simply that they're under-valued.
Toll Brothers's "price/earnings-to-growth ratio" can be calculated by dividing its P/E ratio by its growth – to give 0.9191. A low ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer better value, while a higher ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer worse value.
The PEG ratio provides a broader view than just the P/E ratio, as it gives more insight into Toll Brothers's future profitability. By accounting for growth, it could also help you if you're comparing the share prices of multiple high-growth companies.
Toll Brothers's EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation) is USD$621.7 million.
The EBITDA is a measure of a Toll Brothers's overall financial performance and is widely used to measure a its profitability.
|Revenue TTM||USD$6.9 billion|
|Operating margin TTM||8.02%|
|Gross profit TTM||USD$1.5 billion|
|Return on assets TTM||3.3%|
|Return on equity TTM||9.26%|
|Market capitalisation||USD$6.1 billion|
TTM: trailing 12 months
There are currently 7.4 million Toll Brothers shares held short by investors – that's known as Toll Brothers's "short interest". This figure is 0.3% down from 7.4 million last month.
There are a few different ways that this level of interest in shorting Toll Brothers shares can be evaluated.
Toll Brothers's "short interest ratio" (SIR) is the quantity of Toll Brothers shares currently shorted divided by the average quantity of Toll Brothers shares traded daily (recently around 2.4 million). Toll Brothers's SIR currently stands at 3.07. In other words for every 100,000 Toll Brothers shares traded daily on the market, roughly 3070 shares are currently held short.
However Toll Brothers's short interest can also be evaluated against the total number of Toll Brothers shares, or, against the total number of tradable Toll Brothers shares (the shares that aren't held by "insiders" or major long-term shareholders – also known as the "float"). In this case Toll Brothers's short interest could be expressed as 0.06% of the outstanding shares (for every 100,000 Toll Brothers shares in existence, roughly 60 shares are currently held short) or 0.0738% of the tradable shares (for every 100,000 tradable Toll Brothers shares, roughly 74 shares are currently held short).
Such a low SIR usually points to an optimistic outlook for the share price, with fewer people currently willing to bet against Toll Brothers.
Find out more about how you can short Toll Brothers stock.
Environmental, social and governance (known as ESG) criteria are a set of three factors used to measure the sustainability and social impact of companies like Toll Brothers.
When it comes to ESG scores, lower is better, and lower scores are generally associated with lower risk for would-be investors.
Total ESG risk: 21.92
Socially conscious investors use ESG scores to screen how an investment aligns with their worldview, and Toll Brothers's overall score of 21.92 (as at 10/01/2020) is pretty good – landing it in it in the 23rd percentile of companies rated in the same sector.
ESG scores are increasingly used to estimate the level of risk a company like Toll Brothers is exposed to within the areas of "environmental" (carbon footprint, resource use etc.), "social" (health and safety, human rights etc.), and "governance" (anti-corruption, tax transparency etc.).
Environmental score: 6.07/100
Toll Brothers's environmental score of 6.07 puts it squarely in the 2nd percentile of companies rated in the same sector. This could suggest that Toll Brothers is a leader in its sector terms of its environmental impact, and exposed to a lower level of risk.
Social score: 8.14/100
Toll Brothers's social score of 8.14 puts it squarely in the 2nd percentile of companies rated in the same sector. This could suggest that Toll Brothers is a leader in its sector when it comes to taking good care of its workforce and the communities it impacts.
Governance score: 6.71/100
Toll Brothers's governance score puts it squarely in the 2nd percentile of companies rated in the same sector. That could suggest that Toll Brothers is a leader in its sector when it comes to responsible management and strategy, and exposed to a lower level of risk.
Controversy score: 2/5
ESG scores also evaluate any incidences of controversy that a company has been involved in. Toll Brothers scored a 2 out of 5 for controversy – the second-highest score possible, reflecting that Toll Brothers has, for the most part, managed to keep its nose clean.
|Total ESG score||21.92|
|Total ESG percentile||23.24|
|Environmental score percentile||2|
|Social score percentile||2|
|Governance score percentile||2|
|Level of controversy||2|
Dividend payout ratio: 10.21% of net profits
Recently Toll Brothers has paid out, on average, around 10.21% of net profits as dividends. That has enabled analysts to estimate a "forward annual dividend yield" of 0.9% of the current stock value. This means that over a year, based on recent payouts (which are sadly no guarantee of future payouts), Toll Brothers shareholders could enjoy a 0.9% return on their shares, in the form of dividend payments. In Toll Brothers's case, that would currently equate to about $0.44 per share.
While Toll Brothers's payout ratio might seem low, this can signify that Toll Brothers is investing more in its future growth.
Toll Brothers's most recent dividend payout was on 23 October 2020. The latest dividend was paid out to all shareholders who bought their shares by 8 October 2020 (the "ex-dividend date").
Toll Brothers's shares were split on a 2:1 basis on 11 July 2005. So if you had owned 1 share the day before before the split, the next day you'd have owned 2 shares. This wouldn't directly have changed the overall worth of your Toll Brothers shares – just the quantity. However, indirectly, the new 50% lower share price could have impacted the market appetite for Toll Brothers shares which in turn could have impacted Toll Brothers's share price.
Over the last 12 months, Toll Brothers's shares have ranged in value from as little as $13.28 up to $50.42. A popular way to gauge a stock's volatility is its "beta".
Beta is a measure of a share's volatility in relation to the market. The market (NYSE average) beta is 1, while Toll Brothers's is 1.6398. This would suggest that Toll Brothers's shares are more volatile than the average for this exchange and represent, relatively-speaking, a higher risk (but potentially also market-beating returns).
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Traditional Home Building and City Living. It also designs, builds, markets, and sells homes in urban infill markets through Toll Brothers City Living. In addition, the company develops, owns, and operates golf courses and country clubs; develops and sells land; and develops, operates, and rents apartments, as well as provides homeowners with home automation and technology options. Further, it owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and manufacturing operations. The company serves move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Toll Brothers, Inc. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
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