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Shoe Carnival, Inc is an apparel retail business based in the US. Shoe Carnival shares (SCVL) are listed on the NASDAQ and all prices are listed in US Dollars. Shoe Carnival employs 2,200 staff and has a trailing 12-month revenue of around USD$962.8 million.
Since the stock market crash in March caused by coronavirus, Shoe Carnival's share price has had significant negative movement.
Its last market close was USD$33.59, which is 3.92% down on its pre-crash value of USD$34.96 and 167.44% up on the lowest point reached during the March crash when the shares fell as low as USD$12.56.
If you had bought USD$1,000 worth of Shoe Carnival shares at the start of February 2020, those shares would have been worth USD$429.07 at the bottom of the March crash, and if you held on to them, then as of the last market close they'd be worth USD$898.53.
|Latest market close||USD$33.59|
|52-week range||USD$12.56 - USD$40|
|50-day moving average||USD$35.6854|
|200-day moving average||USD$28.1138|
|Wall St. target price||USD$39.75|
|Dividend yield||USD$0.36 (1.07%)|
|Earnings per share (TTM)||USD$0.775|
The value of any investment can go up or down depending on news, trends and market conditions. We are not investment advisers, so do your own due diligence to understand the risks before you invest.
The technical analysis gauge below displays real-time ratings for the timeframes you select. This is not a recommendation, however. It represents a technical analysis based on the most popular technical indicators: Moving Averages, Oscillators and Pivots. Finder might not concur and takes no responsibility.
This chart is not advice or a guarantee of success. Rather, it gauges the real-time recommendations of three popular technical indicators: moving averages, oscillators and pivots. Finder is not responsible for how your stock performs.
|1 week (2020-10-16)||33.59|
|1 month (2020-09-25)||-2.38%|
|3 months (2020-07-24)||20.18%|
|6 months (2020-04-24)||61.96%|
|1 year (2019-10-25)||-1.98%|
|2 years (2018-10-25)||-16.51%|
|3 years (2017-10-25)||54.79%|
|5 years (2015-10-23)||47.00%|
Valuing Shoe Carnival stock is incredibly difficult, and any metric has to be viewed as part of a bigger picture of Shoe Carnival's overall performance. However, analysts commonly use some key metrics to help gauge the value of a stock.
Shoe Carnival's current share price divided by its per-share earnings (EPS) over a 12-month period gives a "trailing price/earnings ratio" of roughly 44x. In other words, Shoe Carnival shares trade at around 44x recent earnings.
That's relatively high compared to, say, the trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the NASDAQ 100 at the end of 2019 (27.29). The high P/E ratio could mean that investors are optimistic about the outlook for the shares or simply that they're over-valued.
Shoe Carnival's "price/earnings-to-growth ratio" can be calculated by dividing its P/E ratio by its growth – to give 0.95. A low ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer better value, while a higher ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer worse value.
The PEG ratio provides a broader view than just the P/E ratio, as it gives more insight into Shoe Carnival's future profitability. By accounting for growth, it could also help you if you're comparing the share prices of multiple high-growth companies.
Shoe Carnival's EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation) is USD$34 million.
The EBITDA is a measure of a Shoe Carnival's overall financial performance and is widely used to measure a its profitability.
|Revenue TTM||USD$962.8 million|
|Operating margin TTM||1.84%|
|Gross profit TTM||USD$311.9 million|
|Return on assets TTM||1.6%|
|Return on equity TTM||3.74%|
|Market capitalisation||USD$474.1 million|
TTM: trailing 12 months
There are currently 2.7 million Shoe Carnival shares held short by investors – that's known as Shoe Carnival's "short interest". This figure is 9.6% down from 3.0 million last month.
There are a few different ways that this level of interest in shorting Shoe Carnival shares can be evaluated.
Shoe Carnival's "short interest ratio" (SIR) is the quantity of Shoe Carnival shares currently shorted divided by the average quantity of Shoe Carnival shares traded daily (recently around 398946.34502924). Shoe Carnival's SIR currently stands at 6.84. In other words for every 100,000 Shoe Carnival shares traded daily on the market, roughly 6840 shares are currently held short.
However Shoe Carnival's short interest can also be evaluated against the total number of Shoe Carnival shares, or, against the total number of tradable Shoe Carnival shares (the shares that aren't held by "insiders" or major long-term shareholders – also known as the "float"). In this case Shoe Carnival's short interest could be expressed as 0.19% of the outstanding shares (for every 100,000 Shoe Carnival shares in existence, roughly 190 shares are currently held short) or 0.3152% of the tradable shares (for every 100,000 tradable Shoe Carnival shares, roughly 315 shares are currently held short).
A SIR below 10% would generally be considered to indicate a fairly optimistic outlook for the share price, with fewer people currently willing to bet against Shoe Carnival.
Find out more about how you can short Shoe Carnival stock.
Dividend payout ratio: 10.47% of net profits
Recently Shoe Carnival has paid out, on average, around 10.47% of net profits as dividends. That has enabled analysts to estimate a "forward annual dividend yield" of 1.07% of the current stock value. This means that over a year, based on recent payouts (which are sadly no guarantee of future payouts), Shoe Carnival shareholders could enjoy a 1.07% return on their shares, in the form of dividend payments. In Shoe Carnival's case, that would currently equate to about $0.36 per share.
While Shoe Carnival's payout ratio might seem low, this can signify that Shoe Carnival is investing more in its future growth.
Shoe Carnival's most recent dividend payout was on 19 October 2020. The latest dividend was paid out to all shareholders who bought their shares by 2 October 2020 (the "ex-dividend date").
Shoe Carnival's shares were split on a 3:2 basis on 30 April 2012. So if you had owned 2 shares the day before before the split, the next day you'd have owned 3 shares. This wouldn't directly have changed the overall worth of your Shoe Carnival shares – just the quantity. However, indirectly, the new 33.3% lower share price could have impacted the market appetite for Shoe Carnival shares which in turn could have impacted Shoe Carnival's share price.
Over the last 12 months, Shoe Carnival's shares have ranged in value from as little as $12.56 up to $40. A popular way to gauge a stock's volatility is its "beta".
Beta is a measure of a share's volatility in relation to the market. The market (NASDAQ average) beta is 1, while Shoe Carnival's is 1.2576. This would suggest that Shoe Carnival's shares are more volatile than the average for this exchange and represent, relatively-speaking, a higher risk (but potentially also market-beating returns).
Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers various dress, casual, and athletic footwear products for men, women, and children; and accessories, such as socks, belts, shoe care items, handbags, sport bags, backpacks, and wallets. As of February 1, 2020, it operated 392 stores in 35 states and Puerto Rico. The company also sells its products through online shopping at shoecarnival.com. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is based in Evansville, Indiana.
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