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CF Industries Holdings, Inc is an agricultural inputs business based in the US. CF Industries shares (CF) are listed on the NYSE and all prices are listed in US Dollars. CF Industries employs 3,000 staff and has a trailing 12-month revenue of around USD$4.3 billion.
Since the stock market crash in March caused by coronavirus, CF Industries's share price has had significant negative movement.
Its last market close was USD$28.88, which is 26.61% down on its pre-crash value of USD$39.35 and 46.38% up on the lowest point reached during the March crash when the shares fell as low as USD$19.73.
If you had bought USD$1,000 worth of CF Industries shares at the start of February 2020, those shares would have been worth USD$554.53 at the bottom of the March crash, and if you held on to them, then as of the last market close they'd be worth USD$726.62.
|Latest market close||USD$28.88|
|52-week range||USD$19.73 - USD$48.88|
|50-day moving average||USD$31.5843|
|200-day moving average||USD$30.252|
|Wall St. target price||USD$38.05|
|Dividend yield||USD$1.2 (4.16%)|
|Earnings per share (TTM)||USD$1.744|
The value of any investment can go up or down depending on news, trends and market conditions. We are not investment advisers, so do your own due diligence to understand the risks before you invest.
The technical analysis gauge below displays real-time ratings for the timeframes you select. This is not a recommendation, however. It represents a technical analysis based on the most popular technical indicators: Moving Averages, Oscillators and Pivots. Finder might not concur and takes no responsibility.
This chart is not advice or a guarantee of success. Rather, it gauges the real-time recommendations of three popular technical indicators: moving averages, oscillators and pivots. Finder is not responsible for how your stock performs.
|1 week (2020-11-19)||-10.17%|
|1 month (2020-10-29)||7.84%|
|3 months (2020-08-28)||-13.04%|
|6 months (2020-05-29)||-1.67%|
|1 year (2019-11-29)||-37.50%|
|2 years (2018-11-29)||-33.61%|
|3 years (2017-11-29)||-21.63%|
|5 years (2015-11-27)||-35.98%|
Valuing CF Industries stock is incredibly difficult, and any metric has to be viewed as part of a bigger picture of CF Industries's overall performance. However, analysts commonly use some key metrics to help gauge the value of a stock.
CF Industries's current share price divided by its per-share earnings (EPS) over a 12-month period gives a "trailing price/earnings ratio" of roughly 17x. In other words, CF Industries shares trade at around 17x recent earnings.
That's relatively low compared to, say, the trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the NASDAQ 100 at the end of 2019 (27.29). The low P/E ratio could mean that investors are pessimistic about the outlook for the shares or simply that they're under-valued.
CF Industries's "price/earnings-to-growth ratio" can be calculated by dividing its P/E ratio by its growth – to give 1.1573. A low ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer better value, while a higher ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer worse value.
The PEG ratio provides a broader view than just the P/E ratio, as it gives more insight into CF Industries's future profitability. By accounting for growth, it could also help you if you're comparing the share prices of multiple high-growth companies.
CF Industries's EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation) is USD$1.7 billion.
The EBITDA is a measure of a CF Industries's overall financial performance and is widely used to measure a its profitability.
|Revenue TTM||USD$4.3 billion|
|Operating margin TTM||18.37%|
|Gross profit TTM||USD$1.2 billion|
|Return on assets TTM||3.95%|
|Return on equity TTM||9.08%|
|Market capitalisation||USD$6.2 billion|
TTM: trailing 12 months
There are currently 4.9 million CF Industries shares held short by investors – that's known as CF Industries's "short interest". This figure is 9.4% down from 5.4 million last month.
There are a few different ways that this level of interest in shorting CF Industries shares can be evaluated.
CF Industries's "short interest ratio" (SIR) is the quantity of CF Industries shares currently shorted divided by the average quantity of CF Industries shares traded daily (recently around 2.2 million). CF Industries's SIR currently stands at 2.22. In other words for every 100,000 CF Industries shares traded daily on the market, roughly 2220 shares are currently held short.
However CF Industries's short interest can also be evaluated against the total number of CF Industries shares, or, against the total number of tradable CF Industries shares (the shares that aren't held by "insiders" or major long-term shareholders – also known as the "float"). In this case CF Industries's short interest could be expressed as 0.02% of the outstanding shares (for every 100,000 CF Industries shares in existence, roughly 20 shares are currently held short) or 0.0301% of the tradable shares (for every 100,000 tradable CF Industries shares, roughly 30 shares are currently held short).
Such a low SIR usually points to an optimistic outlook for the share price, with fewer people currently willing to bet against CF Industries.
Find out more about how you can short CF Industries stock.
Environmental, social and governance (known as ESG) criteria are a set of three factors used to measure the sustainability and social impact of companies like CF Industries.
When it comes to ESG scores, lower is better, and lower scores are generally associated with lower risk for would-be investors.
Total ESG risk: 34.84
Socially conscious investors use ESG scores to screen how an investment aligns with their worldview, and CF Industries's overall score of 34.84 (as at 10/01/2020) is pretty weak – landing it in it in the 69th percentile of companies rated in the same sector.
ESG scores are increasingly used to estimate the level of risk a company like CF Industries is exposed to within the areas of "environmental" (carbon footprint, resource use etc.), "social" (health and safety, human rights etc.), and "governance" (anti-corruption, tax transparency etc.).
Environmental score: 20/100
CF Industries's environmental score of 20 puts it squarely in the 4th percentile of companies rated in the same sector. This could suggest that CF Industries is a leader in its sector terms of its environmental impact, and exposed to a lower level of risk.
Social score: 12.2/100
CF Industries's social score of 12.2 puts it squarely in the 4th percentile of companies rated in the same sector. This could suggest that CF Industries is a leader in its sector when it comes to taking good care of its workforce and the communities it impacts.
Governance score: 7.14/100
CF Industries's governance score puts it squarely in the 4th percentile of companies rated in the same sector. That could suggest that CF Industries is a leader in its sector when it comes to responsible management and strategy, and exposed to a lower level of risk.
Controversy score: 2/5
ESG scores also evaluate any incidences of controversy that a company has been involved in. CF Industries scored a 2 out of 5 for controversy – the second-highest score possible, reflecting that CF Industries has, for the most part, managed to keep its nose clean.
|Total ESG score||34.84|
|Total ESG percentile||68.76|
|Environmental score percentile||4|
|Social score percentile||4|
|Governance score percentile||4|
|Level of controversy||2|
Dividend payout ratio: 65.93% of net profits
Recently CF Industries has paid out, on average, around 65.93% of net profits as dividends. That has enabled analysts to estimate a "forward annual dividend yield" of 4.16% of the current stock value. This means that over a year, based on recent payouts (which are sadly no guarantee of future payouts), CF Industries shareholders could enjoy a 4.16% return on their shares, in the form of dividend payments. In CF Industries's case, that would currently equate to about $1.2 per share.
CF Industries's payout ratio would broadly be considered high, and as such this stock could appeal to those looking to generate an income. Bear in mind however that companies should normally also look to re-invest a decent amount of net profits to ensure future growth.
CF Industries's most recent dividend payout was on 31 August 2020. The latest dividend was paid out to all shareholders who bought their shares by 14 August 2020 (the "ex-dividend date").
CF Industries's shares were split on a 5:1 basis on 18 June 2015. So if you had owned 1 share the day before before the split, the next day you'd have owned 5 shares. This wouldn't directly have changed the overall worth of your CF Industries shares – just the quantity. However, indirectly, the new 80% lower share price could have impacted the market appetite for CF Industries shares which in turn could have impacted CF Industries's share price.
Over the last 12 months, CF Industries's shares have ranged in value from as little as $19.73 up to $48.88. A popular way to gauge a stock's volatility is its "beta".
Beta is a measure of a share's volatility in relation to the market. The market (NYSE average) beta is 1, while CF Industries's is 1.102. This would suggest that CF Industries's shares are a little bit more volatile than the average for this exchange and represent, relatively-speaking, a slightly higher risk (but potentially also market-beating returns).
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and distributes nitrogen fertilizers and other nitrogen products worldwide. Its principal nitrogen fertilizer products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate. The company also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products, as well as compound fertilizer products with nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. It primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, farmers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.
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