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Assured Guaranty Ltd is an insurance-specialty business based in the US. Assured Guaranty shares (AGO) are listed on the NYSE and all prices are listed in US Dollars. Assured Guaranty employs 441 staff and has a trailing 12-month revenue of around USD$972 million.
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Latest market close | USD$27.95 |
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52-week range | USD$13.3367 - USD$47.9824 |
50-day moving average | USD$32.1888 |
200-day moving average | USD$26.244 |
Wall St. target price | USD$44.33 |
PE ratio | 10.0592 |
Dividend yield | USD$0.8 (2.09%) |
Earnings per share (TTM) | USD$3.883 |
The value of any investment can go up or down depending on news, trends and market conditions. We are not investment advisers, so do your own due diligence to understand the risks before you invest.
The technical analysis gauge below displays real-time ratings for the timeframes you select. This is not a recommendation, however. It represents a technical analysis based on the most popular technical indicators: Moving Averages, Oscillators and Pivots. Finder might not concur and takes no responsibility.
This chart is not advice or a guarantee of success. Rather, it gauges the real-time recommendations of three popular technical indicators: moving averages, oscillators and pivots. Finder is not responsible for how your stock performs.
Historical closes compared with the close of $27.95 from 2020-10-22
1 week (2021-01-12) | -27.14% |
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1 month (2020-12-18) | -8.63% |
3 months (2020-10-19) | 6.35% |
6 months (2020-07-17) | 20.84% |
1 year (2020-01-17) | -43.27% |
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2 years (2019-01-18) | -30.02% |
3 years (2018-01-19) | 34.6 |
5 years (2016-01-19) | 18.13% |
Valuing Assured Guaranty stock is incredibly difficult, and any metric has to be viewed as part of a bigger picture of Assured Guaranty's overall performance. However, analysts commonly use some key metrics to help gauge the value of a stock.
Assured Guaranty's current share price divided by its per-share earnings (EPS) over a 12-month period gives a "trailing price/earnings ratio" of roughly 10x. In other words, Assured Guaranty shares trade at around 10x recent earnings.
That's relatively low compared to, say, the trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the NASDAQ 100 at the end of 2019 (27.29). The low P/E ratio could mean that investors are pessimistic about the outlook for the shares or simply that they're under-valued.
Assured Guaranty's "price/earnings-to-growth ratio" can be calculated by dividing its P/E ratio by its growth – to give 2.52. A low ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer better value, while a higher ratio can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer worse value.
The PEG ratio provides a broader view than just the P/E ratio, as it gives more insight into Assured Guaranty's future profitability. By accounting for growth, it could also help you if you're comparing the share prices of multiple high-growth companies.
Revenue TTM | USD$972 million |
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Operating margin TTM | 42.7% |
Gross profit TTM | USD$829 million |
Return on assets TTM | 1.85% |
Return on equity TTM | 5.35% |
Profit margin | 36.11% |
Book value | $79.69 |
Market capitalisation | USD$3.2 billion |
TTM: trailing 12 months
There are currently 6.0 million Assured Guaranty shares held short by investors – that's known as Assured Guaranty's "short interest". This figure is 14.8% down from 7.0 million last month.
There are a few different ways that this level of interest in shorting Assured Guaranty shares can be evaluated.
Assured Guaranty's "short interest ratio" (SIR) is the quantity of Assured Guaranty shares currently shorted divided by the average quantity of Assured Guaranty shares traded daily (recently around 639520.55674518). Assured Guaranty's SIR currently stands at 9.34. In other words for every 100,000 Assured Guaranty shares traded daily on the market, roughly 9340 shares are currently held short.
However Assured Guaranty's short interest can also be evaluated against the total number of Assured Guaranty shares, or, against the total number of tradable Assured Guaranty shares (the shares that aren't held by "insiders" or major long-term shareholders – also known as the "float"). In this case Assured Guaranty's short interest could be expressed as 0.07% of the outstanding shares (for every 100,000 Assured Guaranty shares in existence, roughly 70 shares are currently held short) or 0.0773% of the tradable shares (for every 100,000 tradable Assured Guaranty shares, roughly 77 shares are currently held short).
A SIR below 10% would generally be considered to indicate a fairly optimistic outlook for the share price, with fewer people currently willing to bet against Assured Guaranty.
Find out more about how you can short Assured Guaranty stock.
Dividend payout ratio: 25% of net profits
Recently Assured Guaranty has paid out, on average, around 25% of net profits as dividends. That has enabled analysts to estimate a "forward annual dividend yield" of 2.09% of the current stock value. This means that over a year, based on recent payouts (which are sadly no guarantee of future payouts), Assured Guaranty shareholders could enjoy a 2.09% return on their shares, in the form of dividend payments. In Assured Guaranty's case, that would currently equate to about $0.8 per share.
While Assured Guaranty's payout ratio might seem fairly standard, it's worth remembering that Assured Guaranty may be investing much of the rest of its net profits in future growth.
Assured Guaranty's most recent dividend payout was on 2 December 2020. The latest dividend was paid out to all shareholders who bought their shares by 17 November 2020 (the "ex-dividend date").
Over the last 12 months, Assured Guaranty's shares have ranged in value from as little as $13.3367 up to $47.9824. A popular way to gauge a stock's volatility is its "beta".
Beta is a measure of a share's volatility in relation to the market. The market (NYSE average) beta is 1, while Assured Guaranty's is 1.1423. This would suggest that Assured Guaranty's shares are a little bit more volatile than the average for this exchange and represent, relatively-speaking, a slightly higher risk (but potentially also market-beating returns).
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Insurance and Asset Management. It offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The company insures and reinsures various debt obligations, including bonds issued by the United States state, governmental authorities or municipal governmental authorities; and notes issued to finance infrastructure projects. It also insures and reinsures various types of the U.S. public finance obligations, such as general obligation, tax-backed, municipal utility, transportation, healthcare, higher education, infrastructure, housing revenue, investor-owned utility, renewable energy, and other public finance bonds; non-U.S. public finance obligations comprising regulated utilities, infrastructure finance, sovereign and sub-sovereign, renewable energy bonds, pooled infrastructure, and other public finance obligations; and the U.S. and non-U.S. Structured finance obligations, including residential mortgage-backed securities, insurance securitization obligations, consumer receivables securities, pooled corporate obligations, financial products, and other structured finance securities. In addition, the company provides asset management services comprising investment advisory services, including management of collateralized loan obligations and opportunity funds to outside investors. It markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
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