If you’re just starting out as an investor or learning how to trade stocks and shares, you need a plan and a strategy. Understanding the basics of technical analysis is a great way to sharpen your investing skills, giving you a solid trading foundation to build from.
What is technical analysis?
This is one of the main methods used by traders to research potential price movements of assets. The basic concept of technical analysis involves interpreting price and volume charts to spot patterns or movements based on historical data and trading psychology.
It’s mostly used for researching stock trades. However, the techniques can apply to most assets that have enough historical data available. This includes securities such as commodities, currencies (forex), futures, fixed-income assets (bonds) and cryptocurrencies.
How technical analysis works
By looking at statistics and trends in prices and trading volumes, traders use this data to make educated guesses on where the price of an asset could be heading next. The information often relates to relatively short-term movements rather than major long-term trends.
This allows traders to use technical analysis to gauge potential possibilities and outcomes for the price of shares and other assets. However, skilled traders and professional investors will often use other forms of research in addition to technical analysis before making investment decisions.
What are the different types of technical analysis?
This analysis relies on a broad range of patterns and signals. The methods have developed and evolved since the introduction of the first theories by Charles Dow at the end of the 19th century.
The following are the two main types of technical analysis:
- Top-down. This is a popular choice for short-term traders. It starts by looking at the overall economy and then gradually works through a sector or industry before finishing with the evaluation of a stock.
- Bottom-up. With this approach, traders begin by looking at an individual stock or asset, attempting to find useful entry and exit points that could play out over a long-term trade.
Here are some of the major indicators and signals used to support the various theories and methods of trading based on technical analysis:
- Price history
- Volume and momentum data
- Reoccurring chart patterns
- Moving averages
- Oscillators
- Resistance and support levels
How to use technical analysis when trading
Here’s a step-by-step overview explaining how you can use technical analysis for trades:
- Open an account. Make sure you have an investment account that allows you to trade with low fees.
- Create a plan. Decide which trading method and strategy you want to use.
- Research. Carry out your initial research and then decide your trading parameters, including possible entry and exit points.
- Set up your trades. Use different order types to make your trading more efficient and automated.
- Execute trades. Use your research and knowledge to follow through on your desired trades within a set time frame.
How accurate is technical analysis?
It’s not an exact science. There are no foolproof formulas or tactics because there are so many variables at play with any single investment. That said, skilled traders can often be fairly accurate with a stated margin of error.
Yet, unexpected things can happen in the markets. Unpredictable factors can influence assets. These events are often not accounted for with technical analysis, meaning that the eventual results can fall way outside the estimated price ranges determined by traders.
How important is this type of stock analysis?
These trading methods and systems have heavily influenced many traders throughout the last hundred years or so. For dedicated traders, technical analysis forms the basic principles used to dictate their theories about asset price movements.
Technical analysis is just one tool to keep in your toolbox. It’s not a cheat code that allows you to predict exactly what’s going to happen with stocks. This is why the best traders will layer other forms of research on top of their technical analysis — it helps provide as clear a picture as possible before trading.
Technical analysis vs. fundamental analysis
This is a debate that rages on among investors. What’s best — technical analysis or fundamental analysis? The truth is, neither is definitively superior. Both can play an important role when you’re researching possible trades for stock or other assets.
In general, technical analysis can be more useful for figuring out shorter-term price movements. But, if you rely solely on technical analysis, you could miss an obvious warning signal. You could also miss a positive sign that you would have been aware of with just a small bit of fundamental analysis.
What are the limitations of technical analysis?
This type of investment research can have a narrow focus because it’s the small details that make a difference. This attention to detail makes technical analysis useful, but this strength can sometimes be its biggest weakness.
Here are some of the major drawbacks and limitations of using technical analysis for investing and trading:
- History never repeats exactly.
- It can be an information overload for new investors.
- Sometimes trading methods lead to a self-fulfilling prophecy.
- Research findings can sometimes be vague or give mixed signals, telling traders the price could go up or down.
- It’s very rare that a high level of accuracy can be determined for asset price movements.
- Some charts and patterns can be interpreted differently, and these differences in opinions can lead to opposing conclusions.
- It doesn’t provide any context for the investment. For example, it gives no information about an industry or competition for a stock.
- Used on its own, it doesn’t give you a complete picture.
- Without an understanding of trading orders, you often need to keep an eye on trades in real time, which can be time-consuming.
Benefits of learning technical analysis
Although it has its drawbacks, there are some very useful benefits for traders willing to put in the time and learn how to use technical analysis to their advantage:
- The detailed information gives you a quick insight into the current state of an asset just by looking at a single chart.
- Only using price and volume data can make it more objective and less subject to bias surrounding the asset or stock.
- It’s one of the only investment research methods that account for human emotion and psychology.
- Once you understand some basic chart patterns, it can be easy to apply these theories to a wide range of investments without in-depth industry knowledge of each asset.
- Nowadays, it’s cheap and easy to access tools and charts that allow you to perform your own technical analysis without expensive resources.
- Most technical analysis can be used across a range of assets and investments, making it efficient to understand a diverse variety of securities.
How to use it to your advantage
The best way to get the most out of technical analysis is to make sure you don’t use these skills in isolation. If you can combine this with other types of analysis, you’ll build a clearer understanding of possible price movements.
Armed with information from different types of research, you can make better decisions as a trader or as an investor. This will reduce the likelihood that you’ll make costly mistakes, and it can improve your chances of trading profitably.
What is an example of technical analysis for beginners?
One of the basic theories and methods you’ll come across toward the start of your learning around technical analysis will involve tracking a “moving average.”
A basic moving average crossover strategy means tracking two moving averages of a stock or asset’s price, the 50-day and the 200-day.
If the 50-day moving average goes above the 200-day, this highlights a general upward momentum and creates a signal to buy, sometimes known as a “golden cross.”
If the opposite happens and the 50-day moving average goes below the 200-day, this can be used as a signal to sell, gloomily referred to as a “death cross.”
Bottom line
Learning how to use technical analysis properly will greatly improve your ability as a trader. And, it can help you make more profitable decisions. However, this type of analysis isn’t a silver bullet, and it doesn’t provide a guaranteed way to make money when trading stocks or other assets.
Technical analysis can be extremely useful to both traders and investors. If you really want to boost your investing skills, it’s best used in partnership with other methods of investment research.
Frequently asked questions
What are the methods of technical analysis?
The two major methods involve a top-down or bottom-up approach, but there can be plenty of unique ways to invest using technical analysis.
What are technical analysis skills?
These are skills you can develop to better understand charts and patterns relating to price and volume data for stocks and other assets.
How do I start studying technical analysis?
There are plenty of free resources you can access on the internet, including videos, courses and articles. A few investment platforms geared toward traders also have information and demo accounts that allow you to practice your skills. If you prefer an old-school approach, there are also loads of books covering this topic.
How do you predict a trading chart?
There’s no way to predict exactly what’s going to happen. You can use technical analysis strategies to estimate where you think the price of an asset will go next. That could simply be an increase or decrease in price. But ideally, you will also come up with a potential range for the change.
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