The electric carmaker stock has defied gravity over the last few years, climbing to new all-time-highs through 2020 and early 2021, and making founder Elon Musk the richest person on the planet in the process. But the stock remains the subject of much speculation about its true value.
Since the stock market crash that started in February 2020, Tesla's share price has had significant positive movement.
Its last market close was $599.05, which is 69.92% up on its pre-crash value of $180.2 (accounting for the 30 August 2020 split) and 754.56% up on the lowest point reached during the March 2020 crash when the shares fell as low as $70.1 (accounting for the 30 August 2020 split).
If you had bought $1,000 worth of Tesla shares at the start of February 2020, those shares would have been worth $556.76 at the bottom of the March crash, and if you held on to them, then as of the last market close they'd be worth $3,839.91.
|52-week range||$181.7 - $895.9|
|50-day moving average||$636.0131|
|200-day moving average||$693.0029|
|Wall St. target price||$660.7|
|Dividend yield||N/A (0%)|
|Earnings per share (TTM)||$0.998|
We update our data regularly, but information can change between updates. Confirm details with the provider you're interested in before making a decision.
All investing should be regarded as longer term. The value of your investments can go up and down, and you may get back less than you invest. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. If you’re not sure which investments are right for you, please seek out a financial adviser. Capital at risk.
The technical analysis gauge below displays real-time ratings for the timeframes you select. This is not a recommendation, however. It represents a technical analysis based on the most popular technical indicators: Moving Averages, Oscillators and Pivots. Finder might not concur and takes no responsibility.
|1 week (2021-06-04)||1.81%|
|1 month (2021-05-12)||3.39%|
|3 months (2021-03-12)||-12.09%|
|6 months (2020-12-11)||-0.02%|
|1 year (2020-06-12)||226.05%|
|2 years (2019-06-12)||1,357.25%|
|3 years (2018-06-12)||789.65%|
|5 years (2016-06-10)||1,293.78%|
Valuing a stock is incredibly difficult, and any metric has to be viewed as part of a bigger picture of overall performance. However, analysts commonly use some key metrics to help gauge value.
Tesla's current share price divided by its per-share earnings (EPS) over a 12-month period gives a "trailing price/earnings ratio" of roughly 611x. In other words, Tesla shares trade at around 611x recent earnings.
That's relatively high compared to, say, the trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the NASDAQ 100 at the end of 2019 (27.29). The high P/E ratio could mean that investors are optimistic about the outlook for the shares or simply that they're over-valued.
Tesla's "price/earnings-to-growth ratio" can be calculated by dividing its P/E ratio by its growth – to give 3.5645. Higher PEG ratios such as this can be interpreted as meaning the shares offer worse value given the current rate of growth.
The PEG ratio provides a broader view than just the P/E ratio, as it gives more insight into Tesla's future profitability. By accounting for growth, it could also help you if you're comparing the share prices of multiple high-growth companies.
Tesla's EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation) is a whopping $4.6 billion.
The EBITDA is a measure of a Tesla's overall financial performance and is widely used to measure a its profitability.
|Revenue TTM||$35.9 billion|
|Operating margin TTM||6.01%|
|Gross profit TTM||$6.6 billion|
|Return on assets TTM||2.99%|
|Return on equity TTM||7.16%|
|Market capitalisation||$587.7 billion|
TTM: trailing 12 months
There are currently 40.0 million Tesla shares held short by investors – that's known as the "short interest". This figure is 0.4% up from 39.9 million last month.
There are a few different ways that this level of interest in shorting Tesla shares can be evaluated.
Tesla's "short interest ratio" (SIR) is the quantity of Tesla shares currently shorted divided by the average quantity of Tesla shares traded daily (recently around 31.3 million). Tesla's SIR currently stands at 1.28. In other words for every 100,000 Tesla shares traded daily on the market, roughly 1280 shares are currently held short.
However Tesla's short interest can also be evaluated against the total number of Tesla shares, or, against the total number of tradable Tesla shares (the shares that aren't held by "insiders" or major long-term shareholders – also known as the "float"). In this case Tesla's short interest could be expressed as 0.04% of the outstanding shares (for every 100,000 Tesla shares in existence, roughly 40 shares are currently held short) or 0.0516% of the tradable shares (for every 100,000 tradable Tesla shares, roughly 52 shares are currently held short).
Such a low SIR usually points to an optimistic outlook for the share price, with fewer people currently willing to bet against Tesla.
Find out more about how you can short Tesla stock.
Environmental, social and governance (known as ESG) criteria are a set of three factors used to measure the sustainability and social impact of companies like Tesla.
Tesla's total ESG risk: 27.59
Socially conscious investors use ESG scores to screen how an investment aligns with their worldview, and Tesla's overall score of 27.59 (as at 12/31/2018) is pretty weak – landing it in it in the 61st percentile of companies rated in the same sector.
ESG scores are increasingly used to estimate the level of risk a company like Tesla is exposed to within the areas of "environmental" (carbon footprint, resource use etc.), "social" (health and safety, human rights etc.), and "governance" (anti-corruption, tax transparency etc.).
Tesla's environmental score: 1.25/100
Tesla's environmental score of 1.25 puts it squarely in the 1st percentile of companies rated in the same sector. This could suggest that Tesla is a leader in its sector terms of its environmental impact, and exposed to a lower level of risk.
Tesla's social score: 17.81/100
Tesla's social score of 17.81 puts it squarely in the 1st percentile of companies rated in the same sector. This could suggest that Tesla is a leader in its sector when it comes to taking good care of its workforce and the communities it impacts.
Tesla's governance score: 10.53/100
Tesla's governance score puts it squarely in the 1st percentile of companies rated in the same sector. That could suggest that Tesla is a leader in its sector when it comes to responsible management and strategy, and exposed to a lower level of risk.
Tesla's controversy score: 3/5
ESG scores also evaluate any incidences of controversy that a company has been involved in. A high-profile company, Tesla scored a 3 out of 5 for controversy – a middle-of-the-table result reflecting that Tesla hasn't always managed to keep its nose clean.
|Total ESG score||27.59|
|Total ESG percentile||60.92|
|Environmental score percentile||1|
|Social score percentile||1|
|Governance score percentile||1|
|Level of controversy||3|
We're not expecting Tesla to pay a dividend over the next 12 months. However, you can browse other dividend-paying shares in our guide.
Tesla's shares were split on a 5:1 basis on 30 August 2020. So if you had owned 1 share the day before before the split, the next day you'd have owned 5 shares. This wouldn't directly have changed the overall worth of your Tesla shares – just the quantity. However, indirectly, the new 80% lower share price could have impacted the market appetite for Tesla shares which in turn could have impacted Tesla's share price.
Over the last 12 months, Tesla's shares have ranged in value from as little as $181.7 up to $895.9. A popular way to gauge a stock's volatility is its "beta".
Beta is a measure of a share's volatility in relation to the market. The market (NASDAQ average) beta is 1, while Tesla's is 1.9951. This would suggest that Tesla's shares are more volatile than the average for this exchange and represent, relatively-speaking, a higher risk (but potentially also market-beating returns).
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