Who would the world elect as the next US President?
The US Presidential race is heating up – with Donald Trump now the Republican nominee, and Hillary Clinton bringing home the Democratic nomination. Who will be the next President of the United States? It’s clear that Hillary has the edge in the national polls, but in this game anything is possible – after all, nobody thought Trump had any chance of clinching the Republican nomination in the first place. With that in mind, we decided to find out who the world would elect if it were up to them.
We surveyed 18,000 people over the age of 18 in 9 countries and asked them who they would vote for out our candidates. Hillary came out on top overall, but there were significant differences in percentage share across our target countries. Check out the results below…
Germany [Sample Size 2,025] Hillary Clinton (50%), Bernie Sanders (10%), Donald Trump (10%), Ted Cruz (3%), Other (27%)
- Rhineland-Palatinate (63.5%) picked Hillary Clinton more than Hesse (43.4%).
- Older Germans were increasingly more likely to pick Hillary Clinton.
France [Sample Size 2,060] Hillary Clinton (53%), Bernie Sanders (8%), Donald Trump (9%), Ted Cruz (3%), Other (27%)
- French men were twice as likely to pick Donald Trump (12.6% vs 6.5%).
- Older respondents were more likely to pick Hillary Clinton (68.4% of 65+ age group).
Japan [Sample Size 2,015] Hillary Clinton (63%), Bernie Sanders (9%), Donald Trump (9%), Ted Cruz (3%), Other (16%)
- Japanese women were more likely to pick “Other” (21.1% vs 13.8%).
- Older millennials (25-34) were most likely to select “Other” (23.6%).
Canada [Sample Size 2,005] Bernie Sanders (31%), Hillary Clinton (29%), Donald Trump (14%), Ted Cruz (4%), Other (22%)
- Canada was the only country where a candidate other than Hillary Clinton came out on top, but by a slim margin (2%)..
- Suburban Canadians picked Bernie Sanders more than urban Canadians (51% vs 29.4%).
UK [Sample Size 2,006] Hillary Clinton (40%), Bernie Sanders (17%), Donald Trump (12%), Ted Cruz (5%), Other (27%)
- Younger Britons (18-24) were more likely to vote for Bernie Sanders (27.8%).
- British men picked Donald Trump more than women (15.6% vs 8.1%).
Australia [Sample Size 2,117] Hillary Clinton (43%), Bernie Sanders (17%), Donald Trump (13%), Ted Cruz (6%), Other (21%)
- Australians (along with Brazilians) had the highest percentage of votes for Ted Cruz.
Spain [Sample Size 2,001] Hillary Clinton (44%), Bernie Sanders (11%), Donald Trump (9%), Ted Cruz (4%), Other (32%)
- Urban Spaniards picked Hillary Clinton more than rural Spaniards (58.3% vs 37.1%).
- However, people in Castile and León picked Hillary Clinton more than Community of Madrid (61.7% vs 37.4%).
Mexico [Sample Size 2,016] Hillary Clinton (54%), Bernie Sanders (10%), Donald Trump (5%), Ted Cruz (5%), Other (27%)
- Mexicans (perhaps unsurprisingly) were the least likely to vote for Donald Trump.
- Young millennials (18-24) were the most likely to select “Other”.
Brazil [Sample Size 2,011] Hillary Clinton (39%), Bernie Sanders (9%), Donald Trump (13%), Ted Cruz (6%), Other (33%)
- Brazilians aged 45-54 were the most likely to vote for Hillary Clinton (49.1%).
- Women (37.2%) were more likely to select “Other” than men (26.8%).
World Average [Sample Size 18,256] Hillary Clinton (46%), Bernie Sanders (14%), Donald Trump (10%), Ted Cruz (4%), Other (26%)
- “Other” was more popular than either of the Republican nominees in every country.
- Ted Cruz received the smallest share of the vote across the board.
- Surveys were carried out using Google Consumer Surveys and Survey Monkey from April 21, 2016 to April 27, 2016.
- Questions were asked in the native language in each country.
- The minimum sample size per country was 2,000.
- The exact global sample size was 18,256.
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