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Prior to 2020, the tide was picking up for cruise ship stocks as the industry saw substantial gains. But no-sail mandates sparked by COVID-19 brought it down. Cruise ship stocks remain in turbulent waters as uncertainty over the coronavirus lingers. But the industry may make a comeback as healthcare experts work with it to lay a framework for a safe return to sea.
Cruise ship stocks are ownership in companies that run cruise ships and transport passengers to their destinations while offering comfort and entertainment along the way.
Projected to be valued at $23.8 billion in 2021, the global cruise ship industry includes more than 270 ships powered by more than 50 cruise lines.
But 3 companies own about 75% of the market share: Royal Caribbean (NYSE: RCL), Carnival (NYSE: CCL) and Norwegian (NYSE: NCLH). The first 2 pay dividends to shareholders.
There are several ways you can get your feet wet with cruise line investing. You can buy shares of individual cruise stocks. Or you can purchase shares of an ETF that invests in multiple cruise ship stocks and possibly other stocks in the travel industry. Here’s how to start:
You can also invest in ETFs that hold cruise ship stocks along with equities from companies in other industries. Here are some to consider:
Cruise stocks can surge in strong economies when people have more disposable income to travel. In the years leading up to 2020, the cruise ship business was becoming the fastest-growing sector in the travel industry. In 2018, the global cruise ship industry was valued at about $150 billion.
A 2016 study showed that the cruise industry contributes about over $3 billion annually to Canada’s economy. This includes both direct spending (i.e. cruise line expenditures) and indirect spending (i.e. travel agent commissions, on-shore spending by passengers and crew).
In 2019, cruising $5.5 billion in economic activity in the US alone. The amount represented a 5.3% increase from the year before, according to the Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA), which represents most of the globe’s cruise ship companies. This was fueled by a spike in people looking to take cruise vacations. In 2019, more than 1.37 million people boarded cruises departing from US ports—an 8% increase from 2018 and a 26% increase from 5 years prior.
But downturns in the global economy and the wider travel industry can cause cruise stocks to take a major plunge.
The cruise ship industry is interconnected with lots of other industries and sectors. Take fuel, for example. If fuel prices rise, cruise lines will spend more to fuel their ships and profits will decline. Other sectors that can affect cruise ship stocks include:
And of course, COVID-19 travel restrictions can mean fewer people are taking cruises and cruise companies are earning less money.
Each of the three largest cruise ship operators saw sales sink by at least 65% for the first nine months of 2020. As of December 3, 2020, Royal Caribbean Cruises stock had seen a one-year drop of about 33%. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings stock sank by about 56% and Carnival plunged by nearly 52%.
While docked in Japan in February, 2020, the British cruise ship, Diamond Princess, experienced one of the largest coronavirus outbreaks outside mainland China at that time.
Data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) shows that through September 28 of that year, there were more than 3,000 confirmed cases of “COVID-19 or COVID-like illness cases” on cruise ships and 41 deaths.
Nonetheless, the CDC now says it’s ready to help the cruise ship industry get back to business. Public feedback shows that people are open to travelling as long as travel companies take measures to prevent the spread of COVID-19 including health screening, mask usage, social distancing and flexible travel bookings.
Time will tell whether increased safety measures and changing government policies will allow the cruise industry to rebound. But one thing’s for sure—it’ll be a while before things get back to normal.
To invest, you’ll need a brokerage account. Explore your options below.
After enjoying a period of growth, cruise ship stocks are now swimming through rough waters. The sector took a major hit from COVID-19, but changing health policies may allow the industry to rebound. Time will tell whether this actually happens.
Risk-taking investors could see opportunity in cruise ship stocks. But you might want to steer away if you prefer predictable and secure investments. Do your due diligence, carefully research companies and compare stock trading platforms before diving in.
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