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We reveal why our panel thinks Cardano (ADA) will be worth US$0.51 by the end of 2022 before rising to US$2.45 by 2025 and why holding until 2030 may be the real pay-off. All prices mentioned in this report are in US dollars.
Finder runs quarterly surveys of industry specialists, asking for their thoughts on how various cryptocurrencies will perform over the next decade. During the October 2022 survey, we asked our panel of 55 industry specialists to give their predictions on Cardano's price between now and 2030.
Cardano price prediction 2022
Cardano is expected to finish 2022 worth $0.51, according to Finder's panel of fintech specialists. Looking further down the road, the panel thinks ADA will close out 2025 at $2.45 and 2030 at $5.37.
Cardano price predictions for 2022, 2025 and 2030: Jan versus October
Back in January, prior to the market collapse, the panel said ADA would close out 2022 at $2.79, which is now higher than their projection for the coin's value in 2025.
There is also a steep decline in their expectations for its value over the next decade. The projection of $5.37 for 2030 is far more conservative than the prediction of $58.04 back in January 2022.
This may partially be a reflection of the crypto market in general. It could also be a reaction to the fact that Cardano developers did not deliver on as much as ADA holders had hoped for in regard to ecosystem (i.e. DeFi, NFT) development. This may change though given the Vasil hard fork that went live in September 2022.
Cardano price predictions for year-end 2022, 2025 and 2030
Justin Hartzman, the CEO at CoinSmart Financial, believes the Vasil hard fork will have a positive impact on ADA’s price, which is why Hartzman has a price target of $0.50 by the end of 2022. He says:
“The Vasil fork has made Cardano smart contracts more scalable and accessible. This should encourage more developers to code on the protocol and boost usability.”
But not every panellist has such optimistic price targets by 2022’s end. Walker Holmes, the co-founder and vice president of MetaTope, gave a price target of $0.35, which is roughly around where ADA trades now. However, Holmes is optimistic about ADA’s future and says, “ADA is very strong and will continue to grow.” Holmes attributes the low price at the moment to the slow development of Cardano.
Vancouver Island University professor Ajay Shrestha expects ADA to be worth just $0.30 by year’s end, noting the external pressures on the broader cryptocurrency market. However, he thinks ADA could lift to $4 within the next few years. “We are experiencing losses in both crypto and equity,” he added.
Unocoin Technologies CEO Sathvik Vishwanath is one of the more optimistic panellists with a price target of $0.60 by 2022’s end.
“With Vasil upgrade completed, the project has all the required functionalities to provide a complete and robust blockchain ecosystem. With loyal communities behind along with new users keep adding and 1,000+ getting built on it, Cardano has all the checklist to grow immensely in coming years.”
Dr. Iwa Salami, co-director of the Centre of FinTech at the University of East London, has an even more optimistic target for December 2022 of $0.80. “The Cardano ecosystem has made good progress over the past year attesting to the many months of thorough research which has characterized the work of blockchain firm Input Output Hong Kong (IOHK), which oversees the design, building and maintenance of the Cardano platform.”
Cypherpunk Holdings CEO Tony Guoga gave a conservative short-term forecast of just $0.35. He thinks ADA could be worth $2.50 by 2025 and says he likes the team behind the coin.
“Short-term negative market impacts to remain. Long-term good play.”
Buy, sell or HODL?
The panel is mostly neutral on Cardano, with 42% saying it's time to hold your ADA. Only 27% of our panellists say it’s time to buy ADA while 31% say it’s time to sell.
Natalia Zakharova, head of global sales at FXOpen, believes now is the time to buy ADA because it “has a lot of potential, it is scalable, effective and PoS-based”. Zakharova has a price target of $0.60 by 2022’s end.
Leading the bearish camp is the founder and CEO of Omnia Markets, Mitesh Shah, who provides the lowest price target of $0.25 by December 2022. “ADA's price will correlate with the bearish market and continue to decrease for the remainder of the year,” Shah says. However, by 2030 Shah believes ADA will be worth $10.
Ruadhan O, founder of Seasonal Tokens, offers a detailed prediction for December 2022: “Cardano will maintain its value for as long as Ethereum's gas fees remain high. The Merge won't affect the Ethereum gas fees, so Cardano will continue to be an attractive alternative.” Ruadhan believes ADA will be worth $0.50 in December 2022 and says it’s time to hold ADA.
Do you think ADA is currently overpriced, underpriced or priced fairly?
The majority (52%) of our panellists think ADA is currently fairly priced. Only 18% believe ADA is overpriced and 30% think it’s underpriced.
What was behind Cardano’s September gains?
Cardano’s price rose briefly in September and the majority of panellists think this is in part due to the Vasil upgrade (72%) as well as its listing on the trading platform Robinhood (55%).
What do you think the total value locked (TVL) on ADA will be in 12 months?
The TVL on ADA sat at $81 million when the panel was surveyed and now sits at $66.23 million at the time of writing. However, in 12 months our panel believes that ADA will have a TVL of $196 million. The lowest prediction says the TVL will remain at $81 million.
Ben Ritchie, managing director at Digital Capital Management, has the most optimistic prediction of ADA reaching a TVL of $12 billion. “If we consider that the Cardano Vasil hard fork a success and the US inflation rates return to a manageable level, the TVL can go as high as $12 billion. This is possible especially if DeFi on Cardano succeeds.”
Meet the panel
Methodology
Finder surveyed 55 fintech specialists from late September to early October 2022. panellists are able to answer as many or as few questions as they like, meaning the number of responses received varies by question. 25 panellists gave their price forecast for ADA. panellists may own some cryptocurrencies, including ADA. All prices are listed in USD per ADA.
Changes to methodology: In 2021, this research was conducted using the simple mean of all answers supplied to Finder. From 2022, we switched to using the truncated mean, with the top and bottom 10% of responses removed to attain a more consistent result. Any 2021 results quoted in this analysis have also been re-calculated using the truncated mean.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex and involve significant risks – they are highly
volatile and sensitive to secondary activity. Performance is unpredictable and past performance is no guarantee of
future performance. Consider your own circumstances, and obtain your own advice, before relying on this information.
You should also verify the nature of any product or service (including its legal status and relevant regulatory
requirements) and consult the relevant Regulators' websites before making any decision. Finder, or the author, may
have holdings in the cryptocurrencies discussed.
Kliment Dukovski is a personal finance writer at Finder, specializing in investments and cryptocurrency. He's written more than 700 articles to help readers compare the best trading platforms, understand complex investment terms and find the best credit cards for their needs. His expert commentary has been featured in such digital publications as Fox Business, MSN Money and MediaFeed. He’s also well-versed in money transfers, home loans and more — breaking down these topics into simple concepts anyone can understand. In another life, Kliment ghostwrote guides and articles on foreign exchange, stock market trading and cryptocurrencies.
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