{"id":542030,"date":"2024-09-03T09:39:28","date_gmt":"2024-09-03T08:39:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/?p=542030"},"modified":"2024-11-21T15:45:09","modified_gmt":"2024-11-21T15:45:09","slug":"september-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/share-trading\/share-trading-research\/september-effect","title":{"rendered":"The \u201cSeptember effect\u201d: Is it the worst month for the stock market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The September effect is a phenomenon where stock market returns tend to be weaker in this month compared to other months in the year. We crunched the numbers to see if September is really the worst month and by how much, and what the strongest months are. <\/p><h3>Stock market history: Is September the worst month?<\/h3><p>Analysis by Finder shows that September is consistently the worst-performing month for global stock markets going back 50 years. Markets across four major indexes (S&amp;P 500, FTSE 100, Nikkei 225 and Euro Stoxx 50) closed an average of 1.2% lower than the start of the month on average. <\/p><p>September has the worst performance in the Euro Stoxx 50, down 2.13% at the end of the month. The FTSE 100 sees an average decrease of 0.98% in September, while the S&amp;P 500 and Nikkei 225 see declines of 0.88% and 0.83% respectively. <\/p><style> .flourish-iframe-0 {height: 600px;} .flourish-credit-0 { display: flex; justify-content: flex-end; text-decoration: none; margin-bottom: 4px;} @media (max-width: 600px){.flourish-iframe-0 {height: 400px;}}<\/style><iframe class=\"flourish-iframe-0\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/17504638\/embed?auto=1\" width=\"100%\" scrolling=\"0\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/iframe>\n            <a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/17504638\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/17504638\" target=\"_blank\" ref=\"sponsored\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Made with Flourish\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/made_with_flourish.svg\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><h4>What is historically the best month for the stock market?<\/h4><p>When the four indices are averaged together, April is the best-performing month for the stock markets over the last 50 years, with average gains of 1.58%. This is closely followed by December, which sees average gains of.<\/p><p>However, the actual best month varies between indices. The S&amp;P 500 and Nikkei 225 both have the best performance in April historically (increasing 1.52% and 1.7%, respectively), while the FTSE 100 really gets into the holiday spirit with high returns in December (up 2.23% on average). <\/p><p>The Euro Stoxx 50 seems to reward those who weather the difficult September with gains in October that more than make up for the previous month\u2019s losses (up 2.82% in October vs. September\u2019s -2.13%, a swing of 4.95%). The charts and table below show the best and worst months for each stock market index.<\/p><div><ul class=\"nav nav-tabs pb-tabs\"><li class=\"active\"><a href=\"#tab4599\" data-toggle=\"tab\">S&amp;P 500<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#tab1318\" data-toggle=\"tab\">Nikkei 225<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#tab9255\" data-toggle=\"tab\">FTSE 100<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#tab5100\" data-toggle=\"tab\">Euro Stoxx 50<\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"tab-content \"><div id=\"tab4599\" class=\"tab-pane active \"><style> .flourish-iframe-1 {height: 600px;} .flourish-credit-1 { display: flex; justify-content: flex-end; text-decoration: none; margin-bottom: 4px;} @media (max-width: 600px){.flourish-iframe-1 {height: 400px;}}<\/style><iframe class=\"flourish-iframe-1\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/19085553\/embed?auto=1\" width=\"100%\" scrolling=\"0\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/iframe>\n            <a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/19085553\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/19085553\" target=\"_blank\" ref=\"sponsored\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Made with Flourish\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/made_with_flourish.svg\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/div><div id=\"tab1318\" class=\"tab-pane \"><style> .flourish-iframe-2 {height: 600px;} .flourish-credit-2 { display: flex; justify-content: flex-end; text-decoration: none; margin-bottom: 4px;} @media (max-width: 600px){.flourish-iframe-2 {height: 400px;}}<\/style><iframe class=\"flourish-iframe-2\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/19085685\/embed?auto=1\" width=\"100%\" scrolling=\"0\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/iframe>\n            <a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/19085685\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/19085685\" target=\"_blank\" ref=\"sponsored\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Made with Flourish\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/made_with_flourish.svg\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/div><div id=\"tab9255\" class=\"tab-pane \"><style> .flourish-iframe-3 {height: 600px;} .flourish-credit-3 { display: flex; justify-content: flex-end; text-decoration: none; margin-bottom: 4px;} @media (max-width: 600px){.flourish-iframe-3 {height: 400px;}}<\/style><iframe class=\"flourish-iframe-3\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/19085610\/embed?auto=1\" width=\"100%\" scrolling=\"0\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/iframe>\n            <a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/19085610\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/19085610\" target=\"_blank\" ref=\"sponsored\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Made with Flourish\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/made_with_flourish.svg\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/div><div id=\"tab5100\" class=\"tab-pane \"><style> .flourish-iframe-4 {height: 600px;} .flourish-credit-4 { display: flex; justify-content: flex-end; text-decoration: none; margin-bottom: 4px;} @media (max-width: 600px){.flourish-iframe-4 {height: 400px;}}<\/style><iframe class=\"flourish-iframe-4\" src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/19085642\/embed?auto=1\" width=\"100%\" scrolling=\"0\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/iframe>\n            <a class=\"flourish-credit\" href=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/19085642\/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_campaign=visualisation\/19085642\" target=\"_blank\" ref=\"sponsored\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Made with Flourish\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/made_with_flourish.svg\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><h3>What are the reasons for the September effect?<\/h3><p>There is much speculation about why September has such a poor track record. Some theories focus on institutional factors, such as investors selling near the end of the third quarter, or funds offloading less successful investments before the quarter closes.<\/p><p>Other proposed reasons behind the effect are seasonal. One theory holds that as investors return from summer holidays in September, they want to secure profits and offset gains with losses before the year ends.<\/p><p>A final theory is that this could all just be a self-fulfilling prophecy as negative market expectations in September turn into reality. <\/p><p>All in all, the September effect is thought to be a market anomaly, not one that should have any real bearing on investment decisions. <\/p><div class=\"eeQuote box u-rounded--lg source-finder type-expert\">\n    <div class=\"eeQuote__gridContainer\">\n        <div class=\"eeQuote__photoContainer\">\n            <div class=\"eeQuote__startQuoteIcon\">\n                <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"40\" height=\"36\" viewbox=\"0 0 32 28\" fill=\"none\">\n  <path d=\"M13.1114 3.54845C12.05 5.01898 11.1447 6.64935 10.3955 8.43956C9.64624 10.2298 9.24041 11.8282 9.17798 13.2348C10.7389 13.8102 11.9563 14.6733 12.8304 15.8242C13.767 16.975 14.2352 18.3816 14.2352 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47.15.53 65.94-15.41 26.3-42.91 23.48-56.04-3.04-6.09-12.29-7.47-26.4-5.92-39.93Z\" fill=\"#212121\"><\/path>\n      <\/g>\n    <\/svg>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n\n        <div class=\"eeQuote__contentContainer \">\n            <div class=\"eeQuote__content\">\n                                    <div class=\"eeQuote__heading\">Our expert says: What does the September effect mean for me?<\/div>\n                                <div class=\"eeQuote__quote\">\n                    <p>\"In 2024, we had a pretty terrible start to August and most markets and indices like the S&amp;P 500 managed to recover most of the lost territory as we made our way towards September. However, it doesn\u2019t look like September 2024 is set to be a blockbuster month for the markets, and this falls in line with our research. History doesn\u2019t tend to repeat itself, but it does tend to rhyme. Although I don\u2019t believe in investing superstitions or the \u201csell in May and go away\u201d adage (where investors supposedly shouldn\u2019t return to the stock market until the end of October), our data shows that September is historically the worst month for the markets. <\/p><p>\u201cThere\u2019s obviously plenty of factors at play in any given year, and if you\u2019re invested for the long term, a poor month shouldn\u2019t really bother you. But, this is just another excellent piece of data to show why \u201ctime in the market\u201d is much more important than trying to \u201ctime the market\u201d. However, if people are placing regular \u201csell\u201d orders, take extra care in September and perhaps throw some salt over your shoulder.\"<\/p>\n\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n                            <div class=\"eeQuote__authorInfo\">\n                                            <div class=\"eeQuote__authorPhoto--mobile\">\n                            <figure class=\"eeQuote__photo\">\n                                <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"George Sweeney, DipFA's headshot\" src=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/finder-us\/wp-uploads\/2025\/11\/GeorgeSweeneyF1_Finder_600x600.png\" class=\"avatar avatar-200 photo finder-avatar\" height=\"200\" width=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/finder-us\/wp-uploads\/2025\/11\/GeorgeSweeneyF1_Finder_600x600.png?fit=180 180w, https:\/\/www.finder.com\/finder-us\/wp-uploads\/2025\/11\/GeorgeSweeneyF1_Finder_600x600.png?fit=360 360w, 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class=\"eeQuote__authorDetails\">\n                                                    <a class=\"eeQuote__authorName\" href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/author\/georgesweeney\" itemprop=\"url\" target=\"_blank\">\n                                George Sweeney, DipFA\n                            <\/a>\n                                                                            <div class=\"eeQuote__authorTitle\">Deputy editor<\/div>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<article class=\"luna-card luna-card--primary\"><div class=\"luna-card__block\"><h3 class=\"luna-sectionTitle\">Methodology<\/h3><p>Monthly closing historical data from Google Finance for the S&amp;P 500 and the Nikkei 225 was analysed over the last 50 years, the FTSE 100 since its inception in 1986, and the Euro Stoxx 50 since it began in 1998.<\/p><\/div><\/article><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n    function addLink() {\n    var body_element = document.getElementsByTagName('body')[0];\n    var selection;\n    selection = window.getSelection();\n    var k = document.location.href\n    var pagelink = \"<br><br> Source: \";\n    var finder = \"finder.com\"\n    var ke = (finder.link(\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/\"));\n    var pagelink2 = \"<br> Analysis conducted by finder.com\";\n    var copytext = selection + pagelink + (k.link(document.location.href)) + pagelink2;\n    var newdiv = document.createElement('div');\n    newdiv.style.position='absolute';\n    newdiv.style.left='-99999px';\n    body_element.appendChild(newdiv);\n    newdiv.innerHTML = copytext;\n    selection.selectAllChildren(newdiv);\n    window.setTimeout(function() {\n    body_element.removeChild(newdiv);\n    },0);\n    }\n    document.oncopy = addLink;\n    <\/script>\n  <div data-tags=\"scale-surveys product-data-insight\">\n<h4>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/stats-facts\">here<\/a> for more research. For all media enquiries, please contact \u2013<\/h4>\n\n<p><strong>Sophie Barber<\/strong><br>\nCommunications Manager<br>\n\n<\/p><div class=\"has-margin-bottom\"><a title=\"email Sophie\" href=\"mailto:sophie.barber@finder.com\" class=\"has-margin-right-xsmall\"><svg class=\"luna-icon\"><use xlink:href=\"#mail-fill\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\"><\/use><\/svg><\/a><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We delve into the data behind the September effect and stock market performance &#8211; what are the best and worst months?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1312,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"We delve into the data behind the September effect and stock market performance - what are the best and worst months?","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-title":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-description":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_opengraph-image-id":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-title":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-description":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image":"","_yoast_wpseo_twitter-image-id":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"post_is_fact_checked":"false","post_co_author":"-1","post_co_author_date":null,"post_co_author_manual_date_checked":null,"post_reviewer":"-1","post_reviewer_date":"","post_reviewer_manual_date_checked":null,"post_editor":"-1","post_editor_date":null,"post_author_date":"","post_author_manual_date_checked":"false","_last_updated_date_data":"{\"is_updated_date_published\":true,\"last_updated_date\":\"2024-09-03 08:39:30\",\"timezone_offset\":\" +00:00\",\"last_update_summary\":\"\"}","_last_major_update":"","_search_priority":0,"feature_finder_bot_teaser_enabled":false,"feature_finder_bot_teaser_message":"","feature_finder_bot_teaser_placeholder":"","feature_finder_bot_teaser_suggestions":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[130090],"tags":[],"asset_tag":[],"class_list":["post-542030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-share-trading-research"],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6.1 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The \u201cSeptember effect\u201d: Is it the worst month for the stock market? - Finder UK<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We delve into the data behind the September effect and stock market performance - what are the best and worst months?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/share-trading\/share-trading-research\/september-effect\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The \u201cSeptember effect\u201d: Is it the worst month for the stock market?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"We delve into the data behind the September effect and stock market performance - what are the best and worst months?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/share-trading\/share-trading-research\/september-effect\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Finder UK\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/findercomuk\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-03T08:39:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Sophie Barber\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@findercomUK\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@findercomUK\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Sophie Barber\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/share-trading\\\/share-trading-research\\\/september-effect#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/share-trading\\\/share-trading-research\\\/september-effect\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Sophie Barber\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/f47c60d501e5ddf9ce90508d8d3a9ed6\"},\"headline\":\"The \u201cSeptember effect\u201d: Is it the worst month for the stock market?\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-03T08:39:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-09-03T09:39:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/share-trading\\\/share-trading-research\\\/september-effect\"},\"wordCount\":705,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"Share trading research\"],\"inLanguage\":{\"@type\":\"Language\",\"name\":\"English\",\"alternateName\":\"en\"},\"copyrightYear\":\"2024\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/#organization\"},\"contributor\":[{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/86a172cdec1fb3d49abd125556776f35\"}],\"commentCount\":0},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/share-trading\\\/share-trading-research\\\/september-effect\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/uk\\\/share-trading\\\/share-trading-research\\\/september-effect\",\"name\":\"The \u201cSeptember effect\u201d: Is it the worst month for the stock market? 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