{"id":423034,"date":"2021-12-07T16:12:55","date_gmt":"2021-12-07T16:12:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/?p=423034"},"modified":"2024-08-27T10:11:22","modified_gmt":"2024-08-27T09:11:22","slug":"what-is-the-triple-lock-on-pensions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/pensions\/what-is-the-triple-lock-on-pensions","title":{"rendered":"What is the triple lock on pensions?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The UK government introduced the state pension triple lock in 2010 in a bid to safeguard pensioners against the risk that the real value of the pension they receive would erode over time due to rising prices (inflation). <\/p><p>Effectively, it\u2019s a guarantee that pension payments will keep pace with inflation. But, its future has been uncertain over recent years due to the cost of keeping this promise. This guide outlines the key things you need to know about the triple lock on pensions and how it could affect you.<\/p><h3>How does the triple lock on pensions work?<\/h3><p>The triple lock is effectively a guarantee on the rising value of the UK <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/pensions\/state-pension\">state pension<\/a>. It\u2019s designed to ensure that the pension payment you receive doesn\u2019t lose value due to inflation.<\/p><p>It guarantees that the state pension payment will rise by the highest of 3 measures of growth:<\/p><ul><li>Price inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the previous September<\/li><li>Average earnings<\/li><li>2.5%<\/li><\/ul><p>What this means is if, say, the CPI rises by 4% (assuming average wage increases are lower than this), then the state pension will also rise by 4%. But even if both the CPI and average earnings increase by less than 2.5%, the state pension will still get a 2.5% boost.<\/p><h3>Who qualifies for triple lock pensions?<\/h3><p>As it stands, everyone that is currently receiving the basic state pension (if you reached the state pension age before April 2016) or the new state pension (if you reached the state pension age from April 2016) qualifies for the triple lock. It also protects any future state pension allowance of those who are yet to retire.<\/p><p>The triple lock only applies to state pensions. It doesn\u2019t apply to any money held in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/pensions\/private-pension\">private pensions<\/a>, such as your workplace pension.<\/p><h3>What does the triple lock mean for me?<\/h3><p>The benefits of the triple lock if you\u2019re already receiving the state pension are fairly evident.<\/p><p>If you\u2019re not yet receiving the state pension, but expect to receive it when you reach retirement age, then the situation may seem less clear-cut.<\/p><h4>Why is the triple lock good for pensioners?<\/h4><p>If you\u2019re already receiving your state pension, the triple lock gives you certainty that your state pension income will rise by at least 2.5% each year. It\u2019ll be more if inflation or average earnings increases are higher.<\/p><p>It means that, at the very least, your spending power shouldn\u2019t decrease during retirement. If this wasn\u2019t the case (for example, if there was no link to CPI), over time there would be a risk of purchases becoming less affordable. Let\u2019s say, for the sake of argument, that CPI increased by 5% each year (that\u2019s your spending on things like food, energy and transport \u2013 pretty much everything you\u2019re likely to spend money on except housing costs), but your state pension only increased by a fixed 2.5%. Over time, the cumulative effect could have a serious impact on your ability to buy what was once affordable.<\/p><p>The triple lock prevents this. It also means that if CPI and earnings increases are lower than 2.5%, you could even see your spending power improve over time.<\/p><h4>What does the triple lock mean for those not yet receiving their state pension?<\/h4><p>It\u2019s easy to assume that the triple lock only benefits those already receiving their state pension. But the triple lock also protects the value of any future state pension you receive.<\/p><p>There are, of course, caveats to this. For example, the state pension age has already been pushed back several years (you can find out when you\u2019ll start receiving a state pension on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.uk\/state-pension-age\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gov.uk website<\/a>). There\u2019s no guarantee it won\u2019t be pushed back even further in the future, to the point that some younger people may wonder if they\u2019ll even get a state pension.<\/p><p>But, thinking more positively, the triple lock arguably protects those yet to retire even more than those who have already retired. That\u2019s because the cumulative impact of inflation becomes more pronounced over longer periods.<\/p><h3>Are there any downsides to the triple lock on pensions?<\/h3><p>At least 2 arguments have been made against the triple lock, though not everyone agrees with them.<\/p><ol><li><strong>It\u2019s unsustainably expensive for the taxpayer.<\/strong> And every extra penny that goes towards paying for increases in the state pension is, it\u2019s sometimes argued, restricting government spending in areas that need it more.<\/li><li><strong>It\u2019s unfair.<\/strong> There\u2019s an argument that guaranteeing increases for pensioners that exceed income rises for working-age people is difficult to justify. So, even if wages only increase by 1% on average, pensioners will still get at least 2.5%. Plus, there are anomalies such as the coronavirus pandemic that saw an artificial and temporary boost to earnings growth as incomes returned to normal after the furlough scheme.<\/li><\/ol><p>The counter-argument to the latter point, in particular, is that young people benefit more from the triple lock than those who are already retired. That\u2019s because it protects their future state pension income against being eroded by inflation over a longer period.<\/p><h3>Has the triple lock promise ever been broken?<\/h3><p>In September 2021, the government announced that for 2022\/23 the triple lock would be suspended and replaced by a double lock. This amendment would take earnings increases out of the equation, instead using the higher of CPI inflation or 2.5%.<\/p><h3>Was the temporary removal of the triple lock fair to pensioners?<\/h3><p>Opinion is divided. Some felt that the government should have stuck by its commitments and that using September 2021\u2019s 3.1% CPI figure could result in a real-term loss of spending power for pensioners, as inflation rose further in subsequent months.<\/p><p>Others supported the move, acknowledging that an 8% increase would have come at too high a financial cost and risked government spending on other priorities, such as the social care system. There have also been concerns around intergenerational fairness, given many working-age people saw their incomes fall during the pandemic.<\/p><h3>High inflation and the state pension triple lock<\/h3><p>The government had promised to reinstate the triple lock for the 2023\/24 tax year, but as of early October 2022, that plan seemed to hang in the balance. In the aftermath of the infamous \u201cmini-budget\u201d in September 2022, Downing Street and the Treasury initially refused to commit to the triple lock. This led many to speculate that the guarantee could be withdrawn.<\/p><p>The culprit this time was not high earnings growth, but high inflation \u2013 a government-target-busting 10.1% in September 2022. This is the month on which state pension increases the following year are based. It was felt by some that a more than 10% rise in state pension would be more than the government could stomach, potentially resulting in pensioners receiving state pension increases well below inflation.<\/p><p>However, at least at the time of writing (in July 2024), the government has committed to maintaining the triple lock. This has led to the state pension rising by 8.5%, meaning the new full state pension is now at \u00a3221.20 a week, up from \u00a3203.85; the old basic state pension has risen from \u00a3156.20 to \u00a3169.50 a week.<\/p><h3>What\u2019s the future of the state pension triple lock?<\/h3><p>The concerns about the state pension triple lock pre-date the events leading to an extended period of high inflation in 2022 (and beyond). They pre-date COVID-19, too. So there\u2019s no guarantee that the triple lock won\u2019t be removed again (temporarily or permanently) at some point in the future.<\/p><h3>What would happen to my state pension without the triple lock?<\/h3><p>That depends in large part on what the triple lock was replaced with. There are a few possibilities, including the following:<\/p><ul><li>Replacing it with a double lock that takes into account the highest of CPI or earnings increases, but removing the 2.5% minimum guarantee. This would mean the state pension would still rise by inflation, but wouldn\u2019t exceed it if both wage increases and CPI fell below 2.5%, as has happened a few times in the past.<\/li><li>Replacing it with a single lock that takes into account either CPI or earnings, but not both. This could risk the spending power of those that rely on the state pension (including future pensioners) deteriorating in the medium to long term.<\/li><li>Removing any sort of lock (or guarantee) and returning to the situation before the triple lock came in where state pension increases were decided ad hoc by the chancellor in the annual budget. This worst-case scenario is unlikely in the short to medium term, as political appetite for such a move is likely to be low. After all, retaining the triple lock was a Conservative manifesto pledge in 2019. But it can\u2019t be ruled out in the long term.<\/li><\/ul><p>If the protection of the triple lock is significantly eroded, the impact is likely to be greatest on those yet to retire, due to the cumulative impact of inflation if state pension increases don\u2019t keep up. This could make the state pension much less worth having by the time younger people retire. Existing state pensioners will also take a hit, of course, but they\u2019re unlikely to feel it as much over the relatively short time they\u2019ll be affected.<\/p><div class=\"eeQuote box u-rounded--lg source-finder type-expert\">\n    <div class=\"eeQuote__gridContainer\">\n        <div class=\"eeQuote__photoContainer\">\n            <div class=\"eeQuote__startQuoteIcon\">\n                <svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"40\" height=\"36\" viewbox=\"0 0 32 28\" fill=\"none\">\n  <path d=\"M13.1114 3.54845C12.05 5.01898 11.1447 6.64935 10.3955 8.43956C9.64624 10.2298 9.24041 11.8282 9.17798 13.2348C10.7389 13.8102 11.9563 14.6733 12.8304 15.8242C13.767 16.975 14.2352 18.3816 14.2352 20.044C14.2352 22.0899 13.5484 23.8482 12.1749 25.3187C10.8637 26.7253 9.2092 27.4286 7.21127 27.4286C5.15091 27.4286 3.43394 26.7253 2.06036 25.3187C0.686788 23.9121 0 21.8661 0 19.1808C0 16.3037 0.749223 13.043 2.24767 9.3986C3.74611 5.75424 5.83769 2.62138 8.52241 0L13.1114 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<div class=\"eeQuote__content\">\n                                    <div class=\"eeQuote__heading\">Our expert says: What can I do to protect my retirement income?<\/div>\n                                <div class=\"eeQuote__quote\">\n                    <p>\"What happens to the state pension in the future, and the maximum amount any of us will receive, is largely out of our control. For many, the state pension will only form part of our retirement income.<\/p><p>To help make sure you have a comfortable retirement, save as much as you can into a workplace or personal pension. Look to actively engage with your pension pots by trying to lower your costs where possible, make sure it\u2019s invested appropriately and be creative about looking for new ways to boost your contributions.\"<\/p>\n\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n                            <div class=\"eeQuote__authorInfo\">\n                                            <div class=\"eeQuote__authorPhoto--mobile\">\n                            <figure class=\"eeQuote__photo\">\n                                <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"George Sweeney, DipFA's headshot\" src=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/finder-us\/wp-uploads\/2025\/11\/GeorgeSweeneyF1_Finder_600x600.png\" class=\"avatar avatar-200 photo finder-avatar\" height=\"200\" width=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/finder-us\/wp-uploads\/2025\/11\/GeorgeSweeneyF1_Finder_600x600.png?fit=180 180w, https:\/\/www.finder.com\/finder-us\/wp-uploads\/2025\/11\/GeorgeSweeneyF1_Finder_600x600.png?fit=360 360w, 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class=\"eeQuote__authorDetails\">\n                                                    <a class=\"eeQuote__authorName\" href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/author\/georgesweeney\" itemprop=\"url\" target=\"_blank\">\n                                George Sweeney, DipFA\n                            <\/a>\n                                                                            <div class=\"eeQuote__authorTitle\">Deputy editor<\/div>\n                                            <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>Bottom line<\/h3><p>The state pension triple lock remains the subject of hot debate. While some maintain that it\u2019s essential to protect current and future state pensioners from erosion of their spending power, others argue it\u2019s too expensive to be sustainable. <\/p><p>Regardless of what happens to the triple lock and the state pension in the future, you can take action to secure a financially sound retirement by also saving into a workplace or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/pensions\/private-pension\">personal pension<\/a>. Actively engaging and taking ownership of your retirement plans is the best way to stay on course for a fruitful retirement.<\/p><h3 id=\"faqs\">Frequently asked questions<\/h3><ul class=\"luna-accordionGroup accordionGroup\"><li class=\"luna-accordion\" data-accordion=\"accordion\">\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__summary\">\n    <h4 class=\"luna-accordion__heading\">\n      <button class=\"luna-accordion__action collapsed\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"accordion0000000000\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#accordion0000000000\">\n        <span class=\"luna-accordion__title\">Why is it called the triple lock?<\/span>\n        <svg class=\"luna-icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-down\" data-accordion-icon=\"show\"><\/use>\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-up\" data-accordion-icon=\"hide\" class=\"is-hidden\"><\/use>\n        <\/svg>\n      <\/button>\n    <\/h4>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__details collapse\" aria-hidden=\"true\" id=\"accordion0000000000\" data-accordion=\"details\">\n    <div class=\"accordionContent\"> It\u2019s called the triple lock because there are 3 criteria on which state pension increases are decided, with the highest rate \u201clocked\u201d in. <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/li><li class=\"luna-accordion\" data-accordion=\"accordion\">\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__summary\">\n    <h4 class=\"luna-accordion__heading\">\n      <button class=\"luna-accordion__action collapsed\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"accordion0000000001\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#accordion0000000001\">\n        <span class=\"luna-accordion__title\">Why was the state pension triple lock introduced?<\/span>\n        <svg class=\"luna-icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-down\" data-accordion-icon=\"show\"><\/use>\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-up\" data-accordion-icon=\"hide\" class=\"is-hidden\"><\/use>\n        <\/svg>\n      <\/button>\n    <\/h4>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__details collapse\" aria-hidden=\"true\" id=\"accordion0000000001\" data-accordion=\"details\">\n    <div class=\"accordionContent\"> It was announced by the coalition government in 2010 in recognition of the fact that the value of the state pension had fallen in real terms over previous years. The triple lock guarantees that the value of the state pension income won\u2019t be eroded by inflation. <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/li><li class=\"luna-accordion\" data-accordion=\"accordion\">\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__summary\">\n    <h4 class=\"luna-accordion__heading\">\n      <button class=\"luna-accordion__action collapsed\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"accordion0000000002\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#accordion0000000002\">\n        <span class=\"luna-accordion__title\">How were state pension increases decided before the triple lock was introduced?<\/span>\n        <svg class=\"luna-icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-down\" data-accordion-icon=\"show\"><\/use>\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-up\" data-accordion-icon=\"hide\" class=\"is-hidden\"><\/use>\n        <\/svg>\n      <\/button>\n    <\/h4>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__details collapse\" aria-hidden=\"true\" id=\"accordion0000000002\" data-accordion=\"details\">\n    <div class=\"accordionContent\"> Before the triple lock was introduced, state pension increases were set by the chancellor in each year\u2019s budget. There were no fixed criteria on which rises were based. In 2000, for example, the increase was only 75p a week. <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/li><li class=\"luna-accordion\" data-accordion=\"accordion\">\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__summary\">\n    <h4 class=\"luna-accordion__heading\">\n      <button class=\"luna-accordion__action collapsed\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"accordion0000000003\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#accordion0000000003\">\n        <span class=\"luna-accordion__title\">Is the pension triple lock at risk long term?<\/span>\n        <svg class=\"luna-icon\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-down\" data-accordion-icon=\"show\"><\/use>\n          <use xlink:href=\"#chevron-up\" data-accordion-icon=\"hide\" class=\"is-hidden\"><\/use>\n        <\/svg>\n      <\/button>\n    <\/h4>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"luna-accordion__details collapse\" aria-hidden=\"true\" id=\"accordion0000000003\" data-accordion=\"details\">\n    <div class=\"accordionContent\"> Potentially, as it\u2019s an expensive policy for the government to maintain. Permanent changes are unlikely to happen in the immediate future because retaining the triple lock was a Tory government election manifesto pledge in 2019. <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/li><\/ul><article class=\"luna-card luna-card--alt\"><div class=\"luna-card__block has-padding-small\">Pensions are long-term investments. You may get back less than you originally paid in because your capital is not guaranteed and charges may apply. Keep in mind that the tax treatment of your pension and investments will depend on your individual circumstances and may change in the future. Capital at risk.<\/div><\/article><article class=\"luna-card luna-card--alt\"><div class=\"luna-card__block has-padding-small\">We show offers we can track - that's not every product on the market...yet. Unless we've said otherwise, products are in no particular order. The terms \"best\", \"top\", \"cheap\" (and variations of these) aren't ratings, though we always explain what's great about a product when we highlight it. This is subject to our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.finder.com\/uk\/terms-of-use\" class=\"fin-text-navy\">terms of use<\/a>. When you make major financial decisions, consider getting independent financial advice. Always consider your own circumstances when you compare products so you get what's right for you. Most of the data in Finder's comparison tables is provided by Defaqto. In other cases, Finder has sourced data directly from providers.<\/div><\/article><div id=\"sources\" style=\"position: relative;\"><h3 style=\"position: absolute; width: 1px; height: 1px; padding: 0; margin: -1px; overflow: hidden; clip: rect(0,0,0,0); white-space: nowrap; border: 0;\">Sources<\/h3>\n<div id=\"lazy0000000000\"><\/div>\n<script type=\"application\/json\" id=\"lazyloaded-assets-json-lazy0000000000\" class=\"lazyloaded-assets-json\">{\"critical-scripts\":[],\"scripts\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/parent-theme\\\/shortcodes\\\/article-source\\\/prod\\\/article-source.de087a0da9824e407767.js\"],\"styles\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.finder.com\\\/parent-theme\\\/shortcodes\\\/article-source\\\/prod\\\/article-source.87684078d471e76125dd.css\"]}<\/script><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We delve into what the triple lock on the state pension means, why it may be removed, and the possible consequences for pension recipients.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":805,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"triple lock on pensions","_yoast_wpseo_title":"What is the triple lock on pensions & how does it affect you?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"We delve into what the triple lock on the state pension means, why it may be removed, and the possible consequences for pension 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