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Cardano(ADA)艾達幣價格預測報告 2022

上升、下跌抑或持平,Cardano艾達幣未來的價格會是如何?

我們將會揭曉了為什何我們的專家小組認為ADA到2022年底將值0.63美元,然後到2025年將升至2.93美元,以及為什麼持有到2030年才可能有真正的回報。本報告中提到的所有價格都是以美元計算的。

Finder每季度都會訪問行業專家,詢問他們對各種加密貨幣在未來十年的表現的看法。在2022年7月的調查中,我們請我們53位的專家小組成員預測Cardano從現在到2030年的價格。

Disclaimer: This information should not be interpreted as an endorsement of cryptocurrency or any specific provider, service or offering. It is not a recommendation to trade.

2022年Cardano (ADA) 艾達幣價格預測

根據Finder的金融技術專家小組預測,Cardano(ADA)將在2022年底升至US$0.63。而更長遠的預測,2025年年底達2.93美元,到2030年達6.54美元。

早在1月份,在冧市(市場大跌)之前,專家小組曾表示ADA將在2022年年尾收市時達到2.79美元,即是現在新的預測更接近他們對2025年的價值預測。

他們對未來十年的價值的預測也在急劇下降。目前對2030年有6.54美元的預測,比起2022年1月時預測的58.04美元要保守得多。

這可能部分反映了整個加密貨幣市場的情況。這也可能是是對Cardano開發者在生態系統(即DeFi、NFT)上的發展,沒有實現到ADA持有人所抱的期望的反應。

東倫敦大學(University of East London)金融科技中心的聯合總監Dr Iwa Salami給出的預測是0.60美元。這略低於小組的平均水平,雖然認為該幣在未來具有實用性。

“我認為Cardano區塊鏈的相關性,特別是在它尋求促進發展中經濟體的金融包容性時,是非常重要的,並有可能擴大其長期使用,從而對ADA的價格產生積極影響。”

PLAYN的創辦人Matt Lobel預計ADA將在年底前反彈至1.5美元。他說,雖然ADA的增長速度可能令人失望,但管理團隊以質素為先的做法將幫助ADA去 “繼續增長,不會遇到其他項目的一些質素問題”。

Morpher公司的行政總裁(Martin Froehler)同意此看法。他認為到2022年底ADA的價值將達到1美元,並只說了,”慢慢而穩定地贏得比賽”。

Router Protocol的行政總裁兼聯合創辦人Ramani Ramachandran對ADA未來的使用情況並不看好,他預測該幣在2022年底將只值0.2美元。

“ADA要麼成為世界上最分散的區塊鏈,否則將玩完,”他說。 “這是沒有一半一半的。”
Permission.io的執行主席Charles Silver對ADA未來使的用也很悲觀。他認為它的價值將會是0.20美元,他說:”我不相信Cardano有什麼用處,它最終會消失。”

DigitalX基金管理執行官Alex Nagorskii更進一步,甚至沒有為該幣提供預測,他說以目前的形式,”它不是一種值得持有的資產”。

買入,賣出或長期持有?

專家小組對Cardano都相當不看好(熊市),只有26%的人認為現在是買入的時候,還有26%的人建議持有你已經已有的。幾乎一半的小組成員(48%)認為現在是出售的時候。

Pandora的普通合夥人Gavin Smith提到了Cardano過去處理的一些交付問題,但他說,只要有 “一個成功的交付計劃,Cardano就能獲得很大的牽引力,因為其精心設計的軟件架構勝過大多數其他區塊鏈。”

堪培拉大學(University of Canberra)的高級講師John Hawkins是賣出陣營的一員。他認為它在未來沒有任何可行性,因為 “它只是另一種不穩定的幣,在很大程度上跟隨比特幣的價格波動,在現實世界中沒有什麼用途。”

而在持有陣營中,斯威本科技大學(Swinburne University of Technology)金融技術碩士(MFinTech)課程總監兼講師Dimitrios Salampasis提到了Cardano未來的 “潛力”,”尤其是完成Vasil硬分叉後”。

Cardano的Vasil硬分叉將如何影響其價格?

至於Cardano的硬分叉(旨在進一步分散網絡並增加吞吐量)對該幣價格的影響,五分之一(20%)的小組成員說,它將產生長期的積極影響。另有17%的人說,它至少會在短期內產生積極影響。

僅有18%的人認為Vasil硬分叉將對Cardano的價格產生負面影響,各有9%的人認為它將導致其價格的短期或長期下降。

Salampasis認為,硬分叉將導致Cardano價格的長期上漲,因為它 “將帶來效率和優化,因為更多的數據將能夠適合每一個智能合約交易”。

Digital Capital Management的總經理Ben Ritchie是34%的人中的一員,他們不確定Vasil硬分叉將如何影響Cardano的價格。

“在我們的理解中,硬分叉將有利於那些想使用Cardano網絡的開發者和喜歡低費用和高速網絡的社區。然而,升級可能對網絡的未來有好處,因為更多的項目開發者可以在Cardano網絡上輕鬆地建立。”

稍微較多數(51%)的專家小組說,Vasil硬分叉將增加Cardano的效用。還有34%的人不確定,14%的人認為它不會有任何影響。

對於一旦以太坊的 “分片”(sharding)–或旨在支持更多用戶的分割發生,Vasil硬分叉是否會給Cardano帶來競爭優勢,專家小組也相當冷漠,46%的人不確定Cardano的成功在以太坊的分片之後會是什麼樣子。另外37%的人認為Cardano不會失去其競爭優勢。只有17%的人說會有影響。

專家小組成員

速覽

Cardano Logo

代幣名稱Ada
代碼ADA
算法類型Ouroboros(咬尾蛇)權益證明
可挖礦?不可
推出日期2017年9月29日

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Cardano的競爭對手

同樣重要的是要意識到,Cardano並不是唯一被稱為下一代區塊鏈平台的項目。除了與加密貨幣領域的名牌企業進行鬥爭外,它還將面臨來自其他新項目的競爭。以下是一些你可能想關注的其他加密貨幣。

  • Ethereum (ETH). 作為最大的智能合約平台,以及在撰寫本文時(2022年2月)按市值計算的世界第二大加密貨幣,以太坊擁有早期發展的優勢和強大的聲譽。然而,它在未來幾個月內克服可擴展性問題的努力將受到關注。
  • EOS (EOS). EOS是一個智能合約平台,旨在比以太坊更具擴展性和更容易使用,它為商業規模的dapp提供了一個基礎設施。
  • Lisk (LSK). Lisk於2016年推出,用JavaScript構建,是一個區塊鏈平台,目的是讓開發者盡可能容易地創建和部署dapp。
  • NEO (NEO). 這通常被稱為是中國對Ethereum的回應。作為數碼資產和智能合約的平台,NEO在撰寫本文時(2022年2月)是世界上市值最高的62種加密貨幣之一。
  • NEM (XEM). NEM於2015年發布,是一個為企業打造的智能資產區塊鏈。它得到了NEM.io基金會的支持,這是一個位於新加坡的非營利組織。
  • Qtum (QTUM). 作為一個為商業而生的區塊鏈平台,Qtum結合了比特幣區塊鏈的安全性和建立dapps和智能合約的能力。

2022年之後: Cardano的未來將會是如何?

建立在科學理念和同行評議的學術研究之上,Cardano提供了一個與其他許多智能合約平台不同的方法。它有一個強大的開發團隊支持,有一個明確的目標時間表,並提供了一系列比最大的智能合約平台以太坊更多的好處。

然而,它仍然只是處於發展的早期階段。當Cardano團隊目前正在努力推出其虛擬機、提高智能合約能力和一系列其他功能時,其競爭對手也努力改進。最值得注意的是,以太坊將致力於擴展解決方案,以改善交易處理時間,它在這一領域取得的進展可能對Cardano的價格產生很大影響。

總結

Cardano及其ADA加密貨幣的底線是,它仍然非常新。雖然它是一個有很多承諾和潛力的平台,但這種承諾和潛力離完全實現還有一段距離。它也遠不是唯一具有高遠目標和嶄新的項目。而預測哪些平台將實現廣泛採用,哪些平台將為相關性而掙扎是非常困難的。

考慮到這一點,最好的建議只是做你自己的研及資料搜集。找出你能找到的關於Cardano背後的基本原理的一切,以及該項目希望所提供的東西。如果你對其成功的機會和價格上漲的潛力感到樂觀,那麼你可以考慮購買ADA。


Images: Shutterstock

在撰寫本文時,作者持有IOTA和XLM。​

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrencies are speculative, complex and involve significant risks – they are highly volatile and sensitive to secondary activity. Performance is unpredictable and past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Consider your own circumstances, and obtain your own advice, before relying on this information. You should also verify the nature of any product or service (including its legal status and relevant regulatory requirements) and consult the relevant Regulators' websites before making any decision. Finder, or the author, may have holdings in the cryptocurrencies discussed.

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