Bitcoin price remains uncertain as potential crash looms over global markets
On-chain data suggests that if Bitcoin touches its 200 Weekly Moving Average anytime soon, it may dip as low as $15K.
- Bitcoin’s total capitalization is currently at $564 billion while its crypto market share lies at 43%.
- The digital currency is mustering support around $30,000, but a further dip could also be on the cards.
- Bitcoin’s halving event in 2024 will see the currency’s reward ratio drop from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action has continued to hover between $28,500 and $30,500 over the past week, with the asset’s monthly losses now at -24%. At press time, BTC is trading at $29,609.
The volatility comes amidst the stock market witnessing a substantial drawdown, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 losing 2.4% and 3.5% respectively. Experts believe the ongoing heavy correlation between the crypto and stock markets could see BTC stoop down to $28,300 in the near term, especially if it fails to retain its pivotal $29,400 resistance.
While stocks, especially tech ones, seem to be controlling the price of Bitcoin, the currency has held ground surprisingly well. Most stocks are currently exhibiting way larger daily drops than BTC. On-chain data suggests that the BTC/USD pair is forming a strong wall of support around its current price levels. A dip to below $28,800 seems quite unlikely within the next seven days.
Another major crash incoming?
Analysts note that if Bitcoin were to re-test its 200WMA (Weekly Moving Average) — an important indicator used by traders to identify long-term changes in the price of an asset — anytime soon, the asset could enter into a downward price spiral.
The 200WMA has served as a lifeline throughout Bitcoin’s history, with the level never having been definitely broken to date. It currently lies at $22,000, and if broken, will see the market move into “unknown bearish territory.”
New highs only after 2 years?
Bitcoin’s chances of recapturing its all-time highs of $69,000 remain bleak. Fresh highs may only be achieved during the latter half of 2024 since it marks a time when BTC’s next halving will take place. Halving is an event that takes place every four years and reduces BTC’s profit ratio by 50%. In 2024, the asset’s reward output will reduce from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.
Interested in cryptocurrency? Learn more about the basics with our beginner’s guide to Bitcoin, dive deeper by learning about Ethereum and see what blockchain can do with our simple guide to DeFi.
Disclosure: The author owns a range of cryptocurrencies at the time of writing
